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优步司机的职业许可

Occupational Licensing of Uber Drivers
NBER Working Papers · 2026 · Jonathan Hall、Jason Hicks、Morris M. Kleiner、Yun taek Oh

中文摘要

我们利用包含司机评分和基于车载信息系统的驾驶行为指标的优步行程级数据,考察职业许可是否能够提高服务质量和安全性。利用基于距离派单产生的准随机分配,我们在两种情境下比较持证司机与无证司机提供的行程:一是纽约市与新泽西州之间的跨境比较,二是休斯敦的一次放松管制事件。在各种情境和模型设定下,包括工具变量估计,我们均未发现职业许可改善消费者结果的一致证据。在休斯敦,放松管制后进入市场的司机在评分和驾驶行为方面与此前持证的司机无法区分,尽管两者在经验和年龄方面存在显著差异。

Abstract

We examine whether occupational licensing improves service quality and safety using trip-level Uber data that include driver ratings and telematics-based measures of driving behavior. Exploiting quasi-random assignment from proximity-based dispatch, we compare trips served by licensed and unlicensed drivers in two settings: a cross-border comparison between New York City and New Jersey, and a deregulation event in Houston. Across settings and specifications, including instrumental variable estimates, we find no consistent evidence that licensing improves consumer outcomes. In Houston, post-deregulation entrants are indistinguishable from previously licensed drivers on ratings and driving behavior, despite differing markedly in experience and age.
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