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投票规则、投票率与经济政策

Voting Rules, Turnout, and Economic Policies
Annual Review of Economics · 2025 · Enrico Cantoni、Vincent Pons、Jérôme Schäfer

中文摘要

近年来,选民身份证法和便利投票引发了激烈的党派争论。为阐明这些政策问题,我们梳理了关于投票率的制度决定因素及其影响的证据,并将视角拓宽至最具争议的规则之外。我们首先讨论选举参与的重要性,包括其对政策选择的影响,以及对民主合法性的意义。基于一个简单的投票成本—收益模型,我们随后回顾了关于投票程序及其他选举规则影响的(准)实验研究。投票程序主要影响参与成本:其造成的障碍在选举前出现且利害关系不显著时影响更大;而当政党动员选民对抗这些障碍、且存在其他投票方式时,其影响较小。选举前端与后端的选举规则则主要通过收益发挥作用,例如影响选举竞争程度和候选人数量。最后,我们指出了未来研究的若干问题。

Abstract

In recent years, voter ID laws and convenience voting have generated heated partisan debates. To shed light on these policy issues, we survey the evidence on the institutional determinants and effects of voter turnout and broaden the perspective beyond the most debated rules. We begin by discussing the importance of electoral participation both for its consequences on policy choices and for democratic legitimacy. Building on a simple cost–benefit model of voting, we then review (quasi-)experimental research on the effects of voting procedures and of other election rules. Voting procedures primarily affect the cost of participation. The obstacles they create matter more when they occur ahead of the election and when the stakes are not salient, and they matter less when parties mobilize voters against them and when alternative ways to vote exist. Election rules both upstream and downstream from the election operate mostly through benefits, for instance, by affecting electoral competitiveness and the number of candidates. We conclude by highlighting questions for future research.
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