经济制裁：典型事实与定量证据
Economic Sanctions: Stylized Facts and Quantitative Evidence
Annual Review of Economics · 2025 · [{"name": "Gabriel Felbermayr", "affiliation": ["Vienna University of Economics and Business", "Austrian Institute of Economic Research", "Ifo Institute for Economic Research"]}, {"name": "Tony Morgan", "affiliation": ["Rice University"]}, {"name": "Constantinos Syropoulos", "affiliation": ["Ifo Institute for Economic Research", "Drexel University"]}, {"name": "Yoto V. Yotov", "affiliation": ["Ifo Institute for Economic Research", "Drexel University"]}]
中文摘要
过去四分之一世纪中, 经济制裁作为外交政策强制性工具的使用显著增加, 与此同时, 相关学术与政策研究的数量也同样迅速增长。本文综述该领域的近期研究。我们首先梳理来自全球制裁数据库 (Global Sanctions Data Base) 的典型事实, 该数据库是关于制裁制度信息最全面的宏观数据来源。随后, 我们回顾日益丰富的、关于制裁对经济结果影响的实证文献, 并特别聚焦于贸易。最后, 基于现有证据, 我们讨论制裁领域尚待解决的概念性问题以及该领域未来的研究方向。
Abstract
The remarkable increase in the use of economic sanctions as a coercive tool of foreign policy over the past quarter century has been accompanied by an equally rapid growth in the number of academic and policy studies. We review recent work in this area. We start by highlighting stylized facts from the Global Sanctions Data Base, the most comprehensive macro source of information on sanction regimes. We then review the growing empirical literature on the effects of sanctions on economic outcomes, with a special focus on trade. Finally, based on the evidence, we discuss open conceptual questions and the direction of future work in the area of sanctions.