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经济制裁:典型事实与定量证据

Economic Sanctions: Stylized Facts and Quantitative Evidence
Annual Review of Economics · 2025 · Gabriel Felbermayr、Tony Morgan、Constantinos Syropoulos、Yoto V. Yotov

中文摘要

过去四分之一个世纪以来,经济制裁作为一种外交政策强制工具的使用显著增加,与此同时,相关学术研究与政策研究的数量也同样迅速增长。本文回顾了该领域近期的研究进展。我们首先梳理来自全球制裁数据库(Global Sanctions Data Base)的典型事实——该数据库是关于制裁机制信息最全面的宏观数据来源。随后,我们回顾了日益丰富的关于制裁对经济结果影响的实证文献,尤其聚焦于贸易领域。最后,基于现有证据,我们讨论了该领域尚待解决的概念性问题以及未来研究的方向。

Abstract

The remarkable increase in the use of economic sanctions as a coercive tool of foreign policy over the past quarter century has been accompanied by an equally rapid growth in the number of academic and policy studies. We review recent work in this area. We start by highlighting stylized facts from the Global Sanctions Data Base, the most comprehensive macro source of information on sanction regimes. We then review the growing empirical literature on the effects of sanctions on economic outcomes, with a special focus on trade. Finally, based on the evidence, we discuss open conceptual questions and the direction of future work in the area of sanctions.
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