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不均衡增长:自动化对收入与财富不平等的影响

Uneven Growth: Automation's Impact on Income and Wealth Inequality
Econometrica · 2022 · Benjamin Moll、Łukasz Rachel、Pascual Restrepo

中文摘要

新技术的收益不仅归于高技能劳动力,还以更高资本收入的形式归于资本所有者。这加剧了不平等。为论证这一观点,我们构建了一个易于处理的理论,将技术与收入和财富的分配——而不仅仅是工资的分配——联系起来,并用它来研究自动化的分配效应。我们识别出一种新的理论机制:自动化通过提高财富回报率加剧不平等。这类回报率变动的另一面是,自动化可能导致工资停滞,进而导致分配底层的收入停滞。我们采用多资产模型扩展来对照生产性资产与安全资产回报的不同经验趋势,并表明相关的回报衡量指标已随时间上升。自动化可以解释所观察到的收入与财富不平等趋势中的一部分。

Abstract

The benefits of new technologies accrue not only to high‐skilled labor but also to owners of capital in the form of higher capital incomes. This increases inequality. To make this argument, we develop a tractable theory that links technology to the distribution of income and wealth—and not just that of wages—and use it to study the distributional effects of automation. We isolate a new theoretical mechanism: automation increases inequality by raising returns to wealth. The flip side of such return movements is that automation can lead to stagnant wages and, therefore, stagnant incomes at the bottom of the distribution. We use a multiasset model extension to confront differing empirical trends in returns to productive and safe assets and show that the relevant return measures have increased over time. Automation can account for part of the observed trends in income and wealth inequality.
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