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统一增长理论:国民财富中增长与不平等的根源

Unified Growth Theory: Roots of Growth and Inequality in the Wealth of Nations
Annual Review of Economics · 2025 · Oded Galor

中文摘要

是什么引发了人类从停滞到繁荣的跃迁?各国之间不平等的核心又何在?统一增长理论考察了社会在整个人类历史进程中的演化,揭示了支配人类历程、驱动增长进程并塑造全球不平等的普遍变革动力。该理论阐明了围绕这一历程的两个最根本的谜题:(a) 增长之谜——在历经数千年近乎停滞之后,过去两个世纪人类繁荣发生剧烈转型的起源;(b) 不平等之谜——各国财富巨大不平等的根源。该理论认为,在遥远过去发挥作用的种种力量,对于理解全球范围内不均衡的发展、以及设计能够促进经济增长并缓解不平等的有效政策,都至关重要。

Abstract

What sparked humanity's leap from stagnation to prosperity? What lies at the core of inequality among nations? Unified Growth Theory explores the evolution of societies over the entire course of human history. It uncovers the universal wheels of change that have governed the journey of humanity, driven the growth process, and shaped inequality across the globe. The theory sheds light on two of the most fundamental mysteries surrounding this journey: ( a ) the mystery of growth—the origins of the dramatic transformation in human prosperity over the past two centuries, in the wake of millennia of near stagnation; and ( b ) the mystery of inequality—the roots of the vast inequality in the wealth of nations . The theory suggests that forces that operated in the distant past are central to the understanding of the uneven development across the globe and to the design of effective policies that could promote economic growth and mitigate inequality.
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