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中国管理金融体系的模式

China’s Model of Managing the Financial System
Review of Economic Studies · 2021 · Markus K. Brunnermeier、Michael Sockin、Wei Xiong

中文摘要

中国的经济模式涉及政府对金融市场的经常性且密集的干预,而西方政策制定者在危机时期之外通常避免进行实质性干预。我们构建了一个理论框架,说明鉴于各自经济体的差异,中国与西方管理金融体系的方式均可视为最优。在该框架中,政府会抑制噪声交易者的交易,但代价是向市场引入政策噪声。我们的福利分析表明,在特定的基础经济条件下,最优政府政策会引致一种以政府为中心的均衡:政府干预如此密集,以至于所有投资者都选择获取关于政策噪声而非基本面的私人信息。这一政策体制刻画了中国将金融稳定置于其他政策目标之上的做法。

Abstract

Abstract China’s economic model involves regular and intensive government interventions in financial markets, while Western policymakers often refrain from substantial interventions outside crisis periods. We develop a theoretical framework to rationalize the approaches of both China and the West to managing the financial system as being optimal given the differences in their respective economies. In this framework, a government leans against trading of noise traders but at the expense of introducing policy noise to the market. Our welfare analysis shows that under certain underlying economic conditions, the optimal government policy induces a government-centric equilibrium, in which government intervention is so intensive that all investors choose to acquire private information about policy noise rather than fundamentals. This policy regime characterizes China’s approach with financial stability prioritized over other policy objectives.
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