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“黑人的命也是命”抗议活动与风险规避

Black Lives Matter Protests and Risk Avoidance
Journal of Human Resources · 2023 · Dhaval Dave、Andrew Friedson、Kyutaro Matsuzawa、Joseph J. Sabia、Samuel Safford

中文摘要

本研究考察 2020 年夏季“黑人的命也是命”(BLM)抗议活动对风险规避行为的影响。利用关于社会流动性的每日匿名智能手机数据,并采用事件研究方法,我们发现抗议活动开始后,净居家行为有所增加。这一结果与人们针对所感知的新冠病毒(COVID-19)感染风险和抗议相关暴力风险而采取的规避行为相一致。此外,我们发现 BLM 抗议活动减少了当地那些感染风险可能高于户外抗议的活动:前往餐厅和酒吧以及零售购物。我们的结论是,风险规避行为有助于解释为何 BLM 抗议活动并未导致 COVID-19 在当地传播。

Abstract

Abstract This study examines the impacts of summer 2020 Black Lives Matter (BLM) protests on risk avoidance behaviors. Using daily anonymized smartphone data on social mobility and an event-study approach, we find that net stay-at-home behavior increased following protest onset. This result is consistent with avoidance behaviors in response to perceived risk of COVID-19 infection and protest-related violence. Furthermore, we find that BLM protests reduced local activities that were potentially riskier for infection than outdoor protests: restaurant and bar-going and retail shopping. We conclude that risk avoidance behaviors help to explain why BLM protests did not lead to local COVID-19 spread.
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