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主席致辞:邻里效应与机会市场缺失

Presidential Address: Neighborhood Effects and Missing Markets for Opportunity
American Economic Review · 2026 · Lawrence F. Katz

中文摘要

实验和准实验研究表明,童年时期的邻里环境对儿童成年后的收入及其他长期社会经济结果具有相当大的因果影响。若干市场失灵可能导致按父母收入形成的居住隔离程度过高,并造成混合收入社区供给不足。机会市场缺失源于以下因素:资本市场不完善,致使家庭无法以儿童未来收入为基础进行借贷;邻里溢出效应;行为偏差;以及住房搜寻摩擦。定制化的住房迁居服务与补贴性住房券相结合,可以帮助低收入家庭迁往机会更多的地区。旨在创建混合收入社区的基于地域的政策,似乎能够改善处境较不利儿童的长期结果。

Abstract

Experimental and quasi-experimental studies show that childhood neighborhoods have substantial causal impacts on children's adult earnings and other long-term socioeconomic outcomes. Several market failures are likely to lead to excessive residential segregation by parental income and to an undersupply of mixed-income neighborhoods. Missing markets for opportunity originate in capital market imperfections for borrowing on children's future earnings, neighbor spillovers, behavioral biases, and housing search frictions. Customized housing mobility services combined with subsidized housing vouchers can help low-income families move to higher-opportunity areas. Place-based policies that create mixed-income neighborhoods appear to increase long-term outcomes for less-advantaged children. (JEL I12, I32, I38, J13, J15, R23, R38)
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