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收入驱动型还款对学生借款人结果的影响

The Impact of Income-Driven Repayment on Student Borrower Outcomes
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2022 · Daniel Herbst

中文摘要

在美国,大多数学生贷款采用固定还款计划,还款义务在借款人职业生涯早期便已出现。这种安排无法为收入风险提供保险,并可能增加学生贷款违约。收入驱动型还款(IDR)计划旨在通过将月还款额降至收入的一定比例,帮助陷入困境的学生借款人。利用一家贷款服务机构自动拨号系统中的随机变异,我发现,IDR使逾期还款率降低了22个百分点,并在采用后的八个月内减少了未偿余额。我还发现,IDR可能对借款人的信用评分、住房抵押贷款持有率以及其他财务健康指标产生提示性的长期影响。

Abstract

In the United States, most student loans follow a fixed payment schedule that falls early in borrowers’ careers. This structure provides no insurance against earnings risk and may increase student loan defaults. Income-driven repayment (IDR) plans are designed to help distressed student borrowers by lowering their monthly payments to a share of income. Using random variation in a loan servicer’s automatic dialing system, I find that IDR reduces delinquencies by 22 percentage points and decreases outstanding balances within eight months of take-up. I find suggestive long-run impacts on borrower credit scores, mortgage-holding rates, and other measures of financial health. (JEL G23, G51, H52, I22)
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