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移民限制对地方劳动力市场的影响:来自20世纪20年代边境关闭的启示

The Effect of Immigration Restrictions on Local Labor Markets: Lessons from the 1920s Border Closure
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2022 · Ran Abramitzky、Philipp Ager、Leah Platt Boustan、Elior Cohen、Casper Worm Hansen

中文摘要

20世纪20年代,美国通过实施针对特定国家的入境配额,大幅减少了移民。我们利用各地移民人口国别来源构成的差异,比较了受配额影响程度不同的地方劳动力市场。在移民流失地区,美国出生的工人相较于受影响较小地区的工人并未获益。相反,在城市地区,欧洲移民被境内迁移者以及来自墨西哥和加拿大的移民所取代。相比之下,农民转向资本密集型农业,而移民密集型采矿业则出现收缩。这些差异凸显了配额制度在地方层面产生的不均衡影响。

Abstract

In the 1920s, the United States substantially reduced immigration by imposing country-specific entry quotas. We compare local labor markets differentially exposed to the quotas due to variation in the national-origin mix of their immigrant population. US-born workers in areas losing immigrants did not benefit relative to workers in less exposed areas. Instead, in urban areas, European immigrants were replaced with internal migrants and immigrants from Mexico and Canada. By contrast, farmers shifted toward capital-intensive agriculture, and the immigrant-intensive mining industry contracted. These differences highlight the uneven effects of the quota system at the local level. (JEL J15, J18, J31, K37, N32, N42, R23)
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