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按要求花钱:来自韩国带有用途标签的新冠疫情刺激支付的证据

Spend as you were told: Evidence from labeled COVID-19 stimulus payments in South Korea
Journal of Public Economics · 2023 · Seonghoon Kim、Kanghyock Koh、Wonjun Lyou

中文摘要

我们通过分析韩国带有用途标签的新冠疫情刺激支付所引起的支出反应,检验标准经济理论中的收入可互换性假设。我们利用独特的政策规则进行识别:(1)领取者不能在其居住地所在省级行政区以外使用这笔款项;(2)他们只能在预先指定行业的商户使用这笔款项。利用首尔的银行卡交易数据,我们发现,家庭并未将刺激支付视为可与其他收入互换。以首尔居民因现金收入增加而产生的分行业基准支出反应作为参照,刺激支付使首尔居民在获准行业的支出相对于非获准行业出现了不成比例的增长。这些支付并未增加非首尔居民的银行卡支出。我们的结果表明,在经济衰退期间,带有用途标签和使用限制的刺激支付可以促进家庭在目标行业或地区的消费支出。

Abstract

We test the income fungibility assumption from standard economic theory by analyzing spending responses to South Korea’s labeled COVID-19 stimulus payments. We exploit unique policy rules for identification: (1) recipients cannot use payments outside their province of residence, and (2) they can only use payments at establishments in pre-specified sectors. Using data on card transactions in Seoul, we find that households do not consider stimulus payments fungible. Compared to Seoul residents’ benchmark spending responses to cash income gains by sector, the stimulus payments disproportionately increased Seoul residents’ spending in the allowed sector compared to the non-allowed sector. The payments did not increase non-Seoul residents’ card spending. Our results imply that labeled stimulus payments with usage restrictions can boost household consumption spending in targeted sectors or locations during economic recessions.
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