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工人如何应对机器人?来自中国的证据

How do Workers Adjust to Robots? Evidence from China
The Economic Journal · 2024 · Osea Giuntella、Yi Lu、Tianyi Wang

中文摘要

我们利用中国的家庭纵向数据,分析工业机器人暴露对劳动力市场调整的影响。我们发现,机器人暴露增加一个标准差会使中国工人的劳动力参与率下降1%、就业率下降7%、小时收入下降8%。与此同时,在继续工作的工人中,机器人暴露使工作时长增加8%。这些效应集中在受教育程度较低的工人中,并且在男性、壮年和较年长工人中更大。我们还发现,机器人暴露程度较高的工人增加了对技术培训的参与,并且在统计上显著更有可能提前退休。

Abstract

Abstract We analyse the effects of exposure to industrial robots on labour market adjustments, exploring longitudinal household data from China. We find that a one-standard-deviation increase in robot exposure led to a decline in labour force participation (−1%), employment (−7%) and hourly earnings (−8%) of Chinese workers. At the same time, among those who kept working, robot exposure increased the number of hours worked by 8%. These effects were concentrated among the less educated and larger among male, prime-age and older workers. We also find that more exposed workers increased their participation in technical training and were significantly more likely to retire earlier.
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