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生产率增长与工人的工作转换:来自人口普查微观数据的证据

Productivity Growth and Workers’ Job Transitions: Evidence from Census Microdata
The Economic Journal · 2025 · Elías Albagli、Mario Canales、Chad Syverson、Matı́as Tapia、Juan Marcos Wlasiuk

中文摘要

我们使用智利的行政数据,为工作转换与生产率差异之间的关系提供了新见解,并量化了不同群体对总体再配置的贡献。尽管工人平均而言会转向生产率更高的企业,但近半数的转换属于“沿生产率阶梯向下”。再配置收益主要由一小部分转换所解释:年轻、高技能的工人创造了总体生产率收益的绝大部分。高流动性的工人按比例贡献最少。因此,尽管工作再配置产生了净收益,但它掩盖了大规模且异质性的总流量,其中许多流量似乎对总体效率几乎没有贡献。

Abstract

Abstract We use administrative data for Chile to provide novel insights on the relationship between job transitions and productivity differentials and quantify how different groups contribute to aggregate reallocation. While on average workers move to more productive firms, almost half of transitions are ‘down the productivity ladder’. Reallocation gains are mostly explained by a narrow subset of transitions: young, high-skilled workers generate the lion’s share of aggregate productivity gains. Workers with high turnover contribute proportionally the least. Therefore, while job reallocation yields a net benefit, it hides massive and heterogeneous gross flows, with many appearing to add little to aggregate efficiency.
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