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劳动力流动的回报

Returns to Labour Mobility
The Economic Journal · 2025 · Isaac Baley、Lars Ljungqvist、Thomas J. Sargent

中文摘要

劳动力流动的回报作为宏观劳动模型中重要力量的传导渠道,往往未得到应有的关注。这些回报由生产率过程的校准所塑造,而校准所使用的理论视角和数据来源分别来自 劳动经济学和 产业组织。通过考察早期的重要研究,我们得出结论: 中对通过新古典生产函数中介的企业规模动态和冲击的关注,产生了对劳动力流动的较大回报,且这些回报对参数扰动具有稳健性。相比之下, 中依赖劳动经济学统计量来校准人均生产率过程,可能导致脆弱性,即产生相似目标统计量的参数扰动可能对劳动力流动的回报产生截然不同的含义。

Abstract

Abstract Returns to labour mobility have too often escaped the attention they deserve as conduits of important forces in macro-labour models. These returns are shaped by calibrations of productivity processes that use theoretical perspectives and data sources from (i) labour economics and (ii) industrial organisation. By investigating earlier prominent studies, we conclude that the focus on firm size dynamics and shocks intermediated through neo-classical production functions in (ii) yields large returns to labour mobility that are robust to parameter perturbations. In contrast, the reliance on statistics in labour economics to calibrate per-worker productivity processes in (i) can give rise to fragilities in the sense that parameter perturbations that generate similar targeted statistics can have very different implications for returns to labour mobility.
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