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培训的专用性与职业流动性:来自德国学徒制的证据

Training Specificity and Occupational Mobility: Evidence From German Apprenticeships
Econometrica · 2026 · [{"name": "Dita Eckardt", "affiliation": ["University of Warwick"]}]

中文摘要

在许多国家,学徒制在促进从学校到工作的成功过渡方面发挥着关键作用;但在信息不完全的情况下,这类培训的专用性可能给那些在其培训领域之外工作的人带来重大成本。我在最著名的培训环境之一——德国学徒制体系中考察这一问题。利用行政数据和宽泛的职业分类,我发现40%的个体从事与其培训不同的职业。我使用职位空缺工具变量估计错配的成本,并拓展了高维选择设定下的方法论途径。缺乏所在职业的对口培训会带来平均14%的工资惩罚,相当于两年工作经验。该惩罚随培训与职业之间任务距离的增大而上升。我的发现表明,在专业化的培训设定中,再培训对于缓解信息不完全带来的不利后果至关重要。

Abstract

Apprenticeships play a key role in enabling successful school‐to‐work transitions in many countries, but in the presence of imperfect information, the specificity of this type of training may entail important costs for those working outside their training fields. I study this issue in one of the most prominent training settings, the German apprenticeship system. Using administrative data and a broad occupational classification, I find that 40% of individuals work in occupations different from their training. I estimate the cost of mismatch using vacancy instruments and extend methodological approaches in high‐dimensional selection settings. Lacking training in one's occupation entails an average wage penalty of 14%, the equivalent of two years of work experience. The penalty increases with the task distance between training and occupation. My findings suggest that retraining is crucial to mitigate the adverse consequences from imperfect information in specialized training settings.

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