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伦敦雾:一个世纪的污染与死亡率,1866–1965

London Fog: A Century of Pollution and Mortality, 1866–1965
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2022 · W. Walker Hanlon

中文摘要

本研究借鉴伦敦长期应对空气污染的经验,以增进我们对污染暴露总体效应的理解,以及这些效应随地区发展如何演变、为何演变。我将覆盖1866年至1965年的独特而详尽的新死亡率数据,与伦敦著名雾事件的发生时间进行对比;这些雾事件使排放物滞留于城市之中。我表明,空气污染是该时期伦敦死亡率的主要贡献因素,并且它与特定传染病存在强烈交互作用。由于这种交互作用,传染病负担的减轻大幅改变了污染的健康成本。

Abstract

Abstract This study draws on London’s long experience with air pollution in order to improve our understanding of the overall effects of pollution exposure and how and why these effects evolve as locations develop. I compare uniquely detailed new mortality data covering 1866 to 1965 to the timing of London’s famous fog events, which trapped emissions in the city. I show that air pollution was a major contributor to mortality in London over this period and that it interacted strongly with specific infectious diseases. As a consequence of this interaction, reductions in the infectious disease burden substantially altered the health costs of pollution.
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