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印度城市的流动性与拥堵

Mobility and Congestion in Urban India
American Economic Review · 2023 · Prottoy Akbar、Victor Couture、Gilles Duranton、Adam Storeygard

中文摘要

我们提出了一种方法,用以估计稳健的城市级车辆速度指数,该指数可精确分解为无拥堵速度和拥堵两部分。我们利用网络地图服务测得的5700万次模拟出行,将该方法应用于印度180个城市。我们使用包括实际出行数据在内的多种替代数据源,验证了模拟出行的可靠性。我们发现,城市间的速度差异很大,而且这种差异更多是由无拥堵速度的差异而非拥堵程度的差异所驱动。密度更高、人口更多的城市速度更慢,而拥堵仅能部分解释这一现象。尽管拥堵状况更严重,城市经济发展仍与更快的速度相关。

Abstract

We develop a methodology to estimate robust city-level vehicular speed indices, exactly decomposable into uncongested speed and congestion. We apply it to 180 Indian cities using 57 million simulated trips measured by a web mapping service. We verify the reliability of our simulated trips using a number of alternative data sources, including data on actual trips. We find wide variation in speed across cities that is driven more by differences in uncongested speed than congestion. Denser and more populated cities are slower, only in part because of congestion. Urban economic development is correlated with faster speed despite worse congestion. (JEL O15, O18, R23, R41)
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