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如何利用自然实验估计资源错配

How to Use Natural Experiments to Estimate Misallocation
American Economic Review · 2023 · David Sraer、David Thesmar

中文摘要

我们提出了一种利用(准)实验证据估计企业政策(如破产法)对配置效率影响的方法。我们的方法考虑了一般均衡效应,既不需要进行结构估计,也无需对实验如何影响企业作出精确假设。我们的加总公式依赖于政策对产出资本比分布的处理效应,而这些效应易于估计。我们证明,该方法适用于宏观金融中常用的一大类模型。我们将其应用于20世纪80年代中期法国银行业放松管制事件,发现总体全要素生产率(TFP)提高了5%。

Abstract

We propose a method to estimate the effect of firm policies (e.g., bankruptcy laws) on allocative efficiency using (quasi-)experimental evidence. Our approach takes general equilibrium effects into account and requires neither a structural estimation nor a precise assumption on how the experiment affects firms. Our aggregation formula relies on treatment effects of the policy on the distribution of output-to-capital ratios, which are easily estimated. We show this method is valid for a large class of commonly used models in macrofinance. We apply it to the French banking deregulation episode of the mid- 1980s and find an increase in aggregate TFP of 5 percent. (JEL G21, G24, G28, G31, G32, H25)
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