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儿童的耐心与数年后的学校分轨选择:连接实验数据与实地数据

Children’s patience and school-track choices several years later: Linking experimental and field data
Journal of Public Economics · 2023 · S. von Angerer、Jana Bolvashenkova、Daniela Glätzle‐Rützler、Philipp Lergetporer、Matthias Sutter

中文摘要

我们提供了关于儿童耐心与数年后教育分轨选择之间联系的直接证据。将493名小学生的激励性耐心测度与他们在初中结束至少三年后做出的高中分轨选择相结合,我们发现耐心显著预测了对学术分轨的选择。在控制了丰富的协变量(如家庭背景、学校班级固定效应、风险偏好和认知能力)后,这一关系依然稳健,且不受样本流失的影响。将初中GPA作为潜在中介因素纳入考量表明,耐心与教育分轨选择之间存在直接联系。

Abstract

We present direct evidence on the link between children’s patience and educational-track choices years later. Combining an incentivized patience measure of 493 primary-school children with their high-school track choices taken at least three years later at the end of middle school, we find that patience significantly predicts choosing an academic track. This relationship remains robust after controlling for a rich set of covariates, such as family background, school-class fixed effects, risk preferences, and cognitive abilities, and is not driven by sample attrition. Accounting for middle-school GPA as a potential mediating factor suggests a direct link between patience and educational-track choice.
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