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汇率稳定与福利

Exchange Rate Stabilization and Welfare
Annual Review of Economics · 2014 · Charles Engel

中文摘要

本文考察了关于简单开放经济模型中最优货币政策的近期文献。按市场定价、不完全金融市场以及不同国家家庭之间的偏好差异,使封闭经济与开放经济的新凯恩斯主义模型之间出现了一些根本性差异。除稳定通货膨胀和产出缺口外,政策制定者还可能将汇率错位和全球失衡作为政策目标。最优政策可能既因汇率错位而直接以汇率为目标,也因汇率对全球失衡、通货膨胀和产出缺口的影响而间接以汇率为目标。

Abstract

This article considers recent literature on optimal monetary policy in simple open-economy models. The presence of pricing to market, incomplete financial markets, and differences in preferences among households (in different countries) introduces some fundamental differences between closed- and open-economy New Keynesian models. In addition to the goals of stabilizing inflation and the output gap, policy makers may target currency misalignments and global imbalances. Optimal policies may involve targeting the exchange rate both directly, because of currency misalignments, and indirectly, because of the effects of exchange rates on imbalances, inflation, and output gaps.
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