NBER Working Papers · 2026 · Joshua S. Gans
中文摘要
人工智能生成的稿件评估可以提高同行评审的质量,但与审稿人共享这些评估可能会减少编辑所掌握的关于稿件的信息。人工同行评审之所以有价值,是因为审稿人补充了人工智能评估所揭示的内容。当两名审稿人看到相同的评估并犯下相似的错误时,他们可能复制彼此的错误、碰巧调查相关领域,并共有相同的盲点。如果人工智能评估在审稿人调查稿件时提高了其工作的质量,那么将报告只提供给一位审稿人,可以更好地将人工智能辅助与独立的人工调查结合起来。如果一些审稿人已经自行使用人工智能生成的评估,将期刊政策改为允许共享评估可以改善同行评审——前提是这种改变能将部分调查负担从犯类似错误的私人工具上转移开——不过,将评估只提供给一位审稿人可能仍优于提供给两位或不提供给任何人。即便报告在审稿意见提交之后才送达,只要审稿人事先知道它将检查哪些问题,它仍能改变审稿人的调查重点。期刊政策将取决于人工智能对审稿人努力及其所调查问题的影响、审稿人是否愿意且能够遵守该政策、监控成本,以及期刊保护审稿人身份与电子邮件机密性的能力。期刊可以在不了解所评审稿件真实质量的情况下评估相互竞争的政策,具体做法是随机改变谁接收评估,然后比较不同报告共享水平下的审稿人分歧。
Abstract
AI-generated assessments of manuscripts could improve the quality of peer review, but sharing them with reviewers might decrease the information that editors possess about the manuscript. Human peer reviews add value because reviewers add what the AI assessment reveals. When both reviewers see the same assessment and make similar errors, they can replicate each other’s mistakes, coincidentally investigate related areas, and share the same blind spots. If AI assessment improves the quality of reviewers’ work while they investigate the manuscript, giving the report to only one reviewer can better combine AI assistance with independent, human investigation. If some reviewers already use AI-generated assessments on their own, changing the journal policy to allow sharing the assessment can improve peer review if the change takes some of the burden of investigation off private tools that make similar errors, though giving the assessment to only one reviewer may still outperform giving it to both or neither. Even a report delivered after the reviews are submitted can still shift what reviewers investigate if they know in advance which issues it will check. Journal policy will depend on the AI’s effects on reviewer effort and the questions they investigate, whether reviewers are willing and able to comply with the policy, the monitoring costs, and the journal’s ability to protect the confidentiality of reviewer identities and emails. Journals can evaluate competing policies without knowing the true quality of the manuscripts they review by randomly varying who receives the assessment and then comparing reviewer disagreement across different levels of report sharing.