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地方基础设施的低效率:来自加利福尼亚州饮用水系统的证据

Inefficiencies in Local Infrastructure: Evidence from Drinking Water in California
NBER Working Papers · 2026 · Pierre Bodere、Giulia Brancaccio、Karam Kang

中文摘要

地方民选官员负责监督关键基础设施,但其所受的选举问责往往有限。本文研究这种情况如何扭曲加利福尼亚州各饮用水系统的投资。我们发现,污染状况会随政治环境的变化而变化,这为构建公共投资动态模型提供了动机。我们将投资有效性和成本的事件研究估计值,与根据住房选择推算出的居民对清洁水的估值相结合,直接衡量投资的福利回报。投资选择使我们能够识别政策制定者对这些回报的响应程度。薄弱的问责机制使投资偏离高回报系统,而常规政策并不能完全抵消这些扭曲:补贴申领情况与回报不匹配,统一的强制性规定则会造成福利损失。

Abstract

Local elected officials oversee critical infrastructure, often with limited electoral accountability. This paper studies how this distorts investment across California drinking-water systems. We document that pollution responds to shifts in the political environment, motivating a dynamic model of public investment. We measure welfare returns to investment directly, combining event-study estimates of investment effectiveness and costs with those of residents’ clean-water valuations, recovered from housing choices. Investment choices identify policymakers’ responsiveness to those returns. Weak accountability diverts investment from high-return systems and conventional policies imperfectly offset these distortions: subsidy takeup is misaligned with returns, while uniform mandates induce welfare losses.
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