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具有不可观测网络的内生社会互动

Endogenous Social Interactions with Unobserved Networks
Review of Economic Studies · 2021 · Marco Battaglini、Eleonora Patacchini、Edoardo Rainone

中文摘要

我们提出一个内生网络形成模型,仅使用可观测结果来还原不可观测的社会网络。我们提出一个新的均衡概念,该概念能够对均衡行为进行精确刻画,并在可检验条件下给出唯一预测。尽管该均衡由大量非线性方程所刻画,我们表明,通过适当设计的近似贝叶斯计算方法,可以高效地利用它来还原网络。我们将该模型应用于还原美国国会议员之间的社会联系网络,所用数据来自第109届至第113届立法机构。我们表明,社会联系对议员的生产率具有重要作用,并识别出美国国会中网络中心性的一些关键决定因素。

Abstract

Abstract We present a model of endogenous network formation to recover unobserved social networks using only observable outcomes. We propose a novel equilibrium concept that allows for a sharp characterization of equilibrium behaviour and that yields a unique prediction under testable conditions. While the equilibrium is characterized by a large number of non-linear equations, we show that it can be efficiently employed to recover the networks by an appropriately designed approximate Bayesian computation method. We apply the model to recover the network of social links between lawmakers in the U.S. Congress using data from the 109th to 113th legislatures. We show that social connections are important for legislators’ productivities, and we identify some of the key determinants of network centralities in the U.S. Congress.
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