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技术差距、贸易与收入

Technology Gaps, Trade, and Income
American Economic Review · 2023 · Thomas Sampson

中文摘要

本文量化了技术差距对国际收入不平等的贡献。我构建了一个内生增长模型,其中跨国研发效率差异与跨行业创新及采用机会差异共同决定了均衡技术差距、贸易模式与收入不平等。研发效率越高的国家越富裕,且在更依赖创新的行业中具有比较优势。我使用研发、专利及双边贸易数据,按国家校准了研发效率,按行业校准了创新依赖度。反事实分析表明,技术差距解释了OECD内部名义工资变异的四分之一至三分之一。

Abstract

This paper quantifies the contribution of technology gaps to international income inequality. I develop an endogenous growth model where cross-country differences in R&D efficiency and cross-industry differences in innovation and adoption opportunities together determine equilibrium technology gaps, trade patterns, and income inequality. Countries with higher R&D efficiency are richer and have comparative advantage in more innovation-dependent industries. I calibrate R&D efficiency by country and innovation dependence by industry using R&D, patent, and bilateral trade data. Counterfactual analysis implies technology gaps account for one-quarter to one-third of nominal wage variation within the OECD. (JEL D21, D24, D31, F14, O31, O33, O47)
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