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应该对机器人征税吗?

Should Robots Be Taxed?
Review of Economic Studies · 2021 · João Guerreiro、Sérgio Rebelo、Pedro Teles

中文摘要

本文使用一个以自动化技术进步和内生技能选择为特征的定量模型表明,在美国现行税收制度下,自动化成本的持续下降可能导致收入不平等大幅上升。我们刻画了该模型中的最优税收制度。研究发现,在当前几代常规性工作者仍活跃于劳动力市场期间,对机器人征税是最优的,因为这些工作者已无法转向非常规职业。一旦他们退休,最优机器人税率即为零。

Abstract

Abstract Using a quantitative model that features technical progress in automation and endogenous skill choice, we show that, given the current U.S. tax system, a sustained fall in automation costs can lead to a massive rise in income inequality. We characterize the optimal tax system in this model. We find that it is optimal to tax robots while the current generations of routine workers, who can no longer move to non-routine occupations, are active in the labour force. Once these workers retire, optimal robot taxes are zero.
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