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幼儿教育对成年后犯罪行为的影响:来自20世纪60年代至90年代的证据

The Effect of Early Childhood Education on Adult Criminality: Evidence from the 1960s through 1990s
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · 2023 · John Anders、Andrew C. Barr、Alexander A. Smith

中文摘要

我们利用犯罪行政记录数据,比较了不同时期幼儿教育对成年后犯罪行为的影响;这些数据在精度上较现有研究具有明显优势。我们发现,幼儿教育的改善使日后的犯罪行为大幅减少(20%),这一降幅远远超过先前研究中考试成绩提升的估计值所隐含的犯罪行为降幅。虽然由此产生的收益相当于所提供教育成本的很大一部分,但我们发现,将资金定向投放于高贫困地区以及原本无法获得有补贴的托育服务的地区,能够带来可观的相对收益。

Abstract

We compare the effects of early childhood education on adult criminal behavior across time periods, using administrative crime data that provide significant precision advantages over existing work. We find that improvements in early childhood education led to large (20 percent) reductions in later criminal behavior, reductions that far exceed those implied by estimates of test score gains in prior studies. While the benefits generated account for a large portion of the costs of the education provided, we find substantial relative gains from the targeting of funds to high-poverty areas and areas without existing access to subsidized care. (JEL H75, I21, I26, I28, I32, I38, K42)
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