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金钱与政治:竞选支出限制对政治进入与竞争的影响

Money and Politics: The Effects of Campaign Spending Limits on Political Entry and Competition
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2022 · Eric Avis、Claudio Ferraz、Frederico Finan、Carlos Varjão

中文摘要

本文研究竞选支出限制对巴西地方政治人物的政治进入、筛选和行为的影响。我们分析了一项限制市长选举竞选支出的改革。该限制的实施存在一个断点,我们利用这一断点进行因果识别。我们发现,更严格的限制降低了连任率,并通过吸引更多候选人增加了政治竞争;这些候选人也较不富裕,且较少依赖自我融资。尽管更严格的限制影响了选举结果,但并未使教育和健康等政策结果在短期内出现统计显著的改善。

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of campaign spending limits on the political entry, selection, and behavior of local politicians in Brazil. We analyze a reform that limits campaign spending for mayoral elections. The limits were implemented with a discontinuity that we exploit for causal identification. We find that stricter limits reduce reelection rates and increase political competition by attracting more candidates who are also less wealthy and rely less on self-financing. Despite their effects on electoral outcomes, stricter limits did not lead to significant short-run improvements in policy outcomes, such as in education and health. (JEL D72, O17)
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