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敞开大门?监狱条件与再犯

Leave the Door Open? Prison Conditions and Recidivism
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2022 · Giovanni Mastrobuoni、Daniele Terlizzese

中文摘要

我们估计了以在开放式监狱服刑的时间替代在普通封闭式监狱服刑的时间对再犯的影响。我们利用邻近监狱过度拥挤所引发的分配变动,处理囚犯被分配至不同监禁制度的内生性问题。以在开放式监狱服刑一年替代在封闭式监狱服刑一年,可使再犯率降低约6个百分点。这一效应对受教育程度较低的囚犯最大,而对暴力犯和惯犯较弱。

Abstract

We estimate the effect on recidivism of replacing time served in a common closed-cell prison with time served in an open-cell one. We deal with the endogenous assignment of inmates to different prison regimes using variation that is driven by nearby prisons’ overcrowding. Switching regimes for a year reduces recidivism by around 6 percentage points. The effects are largest for inmates with low levels of education and are weak for violent and hardened criminals. (JEL K14, K42)
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