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面向非正规就业劳动者的应急现金转移支付:来自墨西哥的效应证据

Emergency cash transfers for informal workers: Impact evidence from Mexico
Journal of Public Economics · 2023 · Ana Canedo、Raissa Fabregas、Prankur Gupta

中文摘要

我们研究了COVID-19疫情期间一项面向自雇劳动者、就业不足劳动者和非正规部门劳动者的一次性大额应急现金转移支付(按购买力平价计为526美元)的效果。转移支付按先到先得的原则办理,直至项目资金耗尽,由此为项目参与提供了一个可信的外生变异来源。结合这一断点与专门为本研究设计的电话调查,我们发现,在收到转移支付后三至四个月时,粮食安全和心理福祉指标均出现幅度较大的正向效应。经营状况和对封锁措施支持度这两方面的综合指标,其点估计均为正,但估计不精确。

Abstract

We study the effects of a sizeable ($526 PPP) one-time-only emergency cash transfer targeted at self-employed, sub-employed, and informal sector workers during the COVID-19 pandemic. The transfers were processed on a first-come, first-served basis until program funds were depleted, creating a plausible source of exogenous variation in program participation. Combining this discontinuity with a purpose-built phone survey, we find substantial positive effects on measures of food security and psychological well-being three to four months after reception. The point estimates for summary measures of business health outcomes and support for lockdowns are positive but imprecisely estimated.
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