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热带地区富裕城市中的高温与观测到的经济活动

Heat and Observed Economic Activity in the Rich Urban Tropics
The Economic Journal · 2024 · Eric Fesselmeyer、Haoming Liu、Alberto Salvo、Rhita Simorangkir

中文摘要

我们利用具有时空分辨信息的人员流动数据,评估高温对新加坡的影响。新加坡是一个富裕的城市国家,可以说预示了正在城市化的热带地区未来可能出现的情形。新加坡的办公室、工厂、商场、公交车和火车普遍配备空调,而公立学校的空调配备程度相对较低。我们记录到,与较凉爽的日子相比,在较热的日子里,人们前往工作场所、商场以及空调配备更充足的学校的到访和通勤活动有所增加,这一现象在家中适应性技术使用有限的低收入居民中尤为突出。富裕城市的投资可能减轻高温对生产成果的广泛负面影响,但从长远来看,这可能加剧气候紧急状况。

Abstract

Abstract We use space- and time-resolved mobility data to assess how heat impacts Singapore, a rich city state and arguably a harbinger of what is to come in the urbanising tropics. Singapore’s offices, factories, malls, buses and trains are widely air conditioned, its public schools less so. We document increased attendance and commuting to workplaces, malls and the more air-conditioned schools on hotter relative to cooler days, particularly by low-income residents with limited use of adaptive technologies at home. Investment by rich cities may attenuate heat’s pervasive negative consequences on productive outcomes, yet this may worsen the climate emergency in the long run.
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