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衡量技能替代中的发表偏误与衰减偏误

Publication and Attenuation Biases in Measuring Skill Substitution
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2022 · Tomáš Havránek、Zuzana Iršová、Ľubica Laslopová、Olesia Zeynalova

中文摘要

分析工资不平等的一个关键参数是熟练劳动与非熟练劳动之间的替代弹性。我们表明,经验文献与估计的逆弹性中同时存在的发表偏误和衰减偏误相一致。发表偏误夸大了所报告的逆弹性均值,并占据主导地位,使得校正后的逆弹性比通常所发表的点估计更接近于零。由此隐含的弹性均值为4,下界为2。发展中国家的弹性更小。为得出这些结果,我们使用了针对发表偏误的非线性检验以及能够处理模型不确定性的模型平均技术。

Abstract

Abstract A key parameter in the analysis of wage inequality is the elasticity of substitution between skilled and unskilled labor. We show that the empirical literature is consistent with both publication and attenuation bias in the estimated inverse elasticities. Publication bias, which exaggerates the mean reported inverse elasticity, dominates and results in corrected inverse elasticities closer to zero than the typically published estimates. The implied mean elasticity is 4, with a lower bound of 2. Elasticities are smaller for developing countries. To derive these results, we use nonlinear tests for publication bias and model averaging techniques that account for model uncertainty.
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