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1995—2016年意大利个人财富集中度

The Concentration of Personal Wealth in Italy 1995–2016
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2024 · Paolo Acciari、Facundo Alvaredo、Salvatore Morelli

中文摘要

我们利用一种新的遗产税档案数据来源,结合调查和国民账户数据,估计了1995年至2016年间意大利的财富分布。我们发现,意大利的财富集中度水平与其他欧洲国家相当;然而,其随时间变化的趋势似乎更接近美国,在研究期间显著上升。意大利是财富分布底部50%人群的财富份额降幅最大的国家之一。本文还表明,年龄在解释财富集中度方面的作用有限。相比之下,储蓄变化是财富不平等加剧的主导因素,即使在财富分布顶端群体中也是如此。股票价格也解释了财富分布第99百分位以上群体财富增长的很大一部分,而房价变化的作用较小。最后,我们记录了一生中的财富转移日益集中的现象,以及这些转移所享有的日益优惠的税收待遇。

Abstract

Abstract We estimate the distribution of wealth in Italy between 1995 and 2016 using a novel source of inheritance tax files, combined with surveys and national accounts. We find that the level of wealth concentration is in line with other European countries; however, its time trend appears more in line with the US, showing a significant increase over the period studied. The country exhibits one of the greatest declines in the wealth share of the bottom 50%. The paper also shows that age plays a marginal role in explaining wealth concentration. Changes in savings, instead, are the predominant force behind the increase in wealth inequality, even at the top. Equity prices also account for a large share of wealth growth above the 99th percentile, whereas changes in house prices play only a minor role. Finally, we document the growing concentration of life-time wealth transfers, and their increasingly favorable tax treatment.
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