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非洲援助管理与冲突

The Management of Aid and Conflict in Africa
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · 2025 · Jacob Moscona

中文摘要

本研究考察非洲发展援助管理与暴力冲突之间的关系。我利用因指派能力不同的项目负责人而产生的世界银行项目管理质量差异,并结合与绩效报告卡相联结的所有项目的地理编码数据进行分析。我发现,更好的项目管理减少了次国家级受援地区的暴力冲突。管理不善的项目增加冲突,而管理良好的项目则减少冲突。项目监测尤为重要,而在近期有战争经历的地区以及涉及可侵占资源转移的大型项目中,管理最为重要。(JEL D74、F35、O17、O19、O22)

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between the management of development aid and violent conflict in Africa. I exploit variation in World Bank project management quality driven by the assignment of project leaders of varying ability, combined with geo-coded data on all projects linked to performance report cards. I find that better project management reduces violent conflict across subnational aid receiving regions. Poorly managed projects increase conflict while well-managed projects do the opposite. Project monitoring is particularly important, and management matters most in regions with a recent history of warfare and for large projects that involve the transfer of appropriable resources. (JEL D74, F35, O17, O19, O22)
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