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评估法官固定效应

Judging Judge Fixed Effects
American Economic Review · 2022 · Brigham Frandsen、Lars Lefgren、Emily Leslie

中文摘要

我们提出了一种非参数检验,用于检验基于案件被随机分配给法官的工具变量(IV)设计中所援引的排他性与单调性假设。我们证明了该检验的渐近有效性,并在模拟中展示了其有限样本表现。我们在一项来自文献的实证设定中应用了该检验,该文献考察了审前羁押对纽约被告结果的影响。当假设不满足时,我们提出了通常的排他性与单调性约束的弱化版本,在该弱化版本下,IV估计量仍收敛于处理效应的适当加权平均。

Abstract

We propose a nonparametric test for the exclusion and monotonicity assumptions invoked in instrumental variable (IV) designs based on the random assignment of cases to judges. We show its asymptotic validity and demonstrate its finite-sample performance in simulations. We apply our test in an empirical setting from the literature examining the effects of pretrial detention on defendant outcomes in New York. When the assumptions are not satisfied, we propose weaker versions of the usual exclusion and monotonicity restrictions under which the IV estimator still converges to a proper weighted average of treatment effects. (JEL H76, K41)
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