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税收、问责与现金转移支付:打破资源诅咒

Taxation, accountability, and cash transfers: Breaking the resource curse
Journal of Public Economics · 2023 · Shantayanan Devarajan、Quy‐Toan Do

中文摘要

为什么资源丰富国家的治理如此糟糕?我们认为,这是因为这些国家的政府不依赖税收,而税收是公民要求政府承担责任的重要工具。通过博弈论模型,我们表明,在拥有可观矿产收入的经济体中,低税收与薄弱治理的组合可以构成一种均衡。随着自然资源收入最终下降,以税收收入替代自然资源收入可能需要政府将这些收入的控制权交给公民,例如通过现金转移支付的形式,以此作出接受问责的可信承诺,从而使国家摆脱资源诅咒。

Abstract

Why is governance in resource-rich countries so poor? We argue that it is because governments in these countries do not rely on taxation, which is an important instrument for citizens to hold their governments accountable. Using a game-theoretic model, we show that the combination of low taxes and weak governance can be an equilibrium in an economy with sizeable mineral revenues. As income from natural resources ultimately declines, replacing it with tax revenues may require governments to give control of these proceeds to citizens, in the form of cash transfers say, as a credible commitment to accountability, thereby breaking the country out of its resource curse.
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