Journal of Public Economics · 2023 · Kristiina Huttunen、Tuomas Pekkarinen、Roope Uusitalo、Hanna Virtanen
中文摘要
我们研究中等教育对芬兰年轻男性犯罪行为的影响。我们利用申请人数超过招生名额的项目的录取分数线，估计以下三种比较中获得入学机会的效应：a）获得任何中等学校的入学机会与未获得此类机会相比；b）获得普通中等学校的入学机会与获得职业中等学校的入学机会相比；c）获得选拔性较强的普通中等学校的入学机会与获得选拔性较弱的普通中等学校的入学机会相比。结果显示，被任何中等学校录取对犯罪倾向都有较大的负向效应。在另外两个边际上均无效应。广度边际上的负向效应在入学后的几年中最大，并降低了曾经实施犯罪的概率，而非仅仅推迟首次犯罪的时间。我们的结果提示，让青少年在关键年龄留在学校所产生的影响，会持续到能够观察到在校就读效应的那些年份之后。
Abstract
We study the effect of secondary education on criminal behavior of young men in Finland. We exploit admission cut-offs in over-subscribed programs and estimate the effect of gaining access to a) any secondary school vs no access, b) general vs vocational school, and c) selective vs less selective general school. Our results show that admission to any secondary school has a sizeable negative effect on the propensity to commit crime. There are no effects at the other two margins. The negative effects at the extensive margin are largest in the years following school admission and result in a reduction of the probability of ever committing crime rather than simply delaying the onset of crime. Our results suggest that keeping youth at school at a critical age has effects that last beyond years where effects on enrollment are observed.