医疗干预有助于重返工作吗：来自乳腺癌患者的证据
Do Medical Treatments Work for Work? Evidence from Breast Cancer Patients
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · 2025 · [{"name": "N. Meltem Daysal", "affiliation": ["Center for Economic and Policy Research"]}, {"name": "William N. Evans", "affiliation": ["University of Notre Dame"]}, {"name": "Mikkel H. Pedersen", "affiliation": ["AnyBody Technology (Denmark)"]}, {"name": "Mircea Trandafir", "affiliation": ["Rockwool Foundation"]}]
中文摘要
我们考察放射治疗对乳腺癌患者死亡率与经济结果的影响。我们在双重差分框架内实施两阶段最小二乘（2SLS）策略，利用丹麦一项医学指南变更所带来的治疗差异进行识别。我们复现了一项随机对照试验（RCT）的结果，该试验表明放射治疗具有挽救生命的益处。我们进一步表明，放射治疗同样具有经济回报：确诊十年后，治疗使就业增加37%，收入增加45%。既有研究记录了乳腺癌确诊后就业的大幅下降。我们的结果意味着，放射治疗可将这一效应降低70%。（JEL H51, I12, I18, J16, J22, J31）
Abstract
We investigate the effects of radiation therapy on the mortality and economic outcomes of breast cancer patients. We implement a 2SLS strategy within a difference-in-difference framework exploiting variation in treatment stemming from a medical guideline change in Denmark. We reproduce the results from an RCT showing the lifesaving benefits of radiotherapy. We show radiation therapy also has economic returns: Ten years after diagnosis, treatment increases employment by 37 percent and earnings by 45 percent. Previous work has documented a substantial employment drop after a breast cancer diagnosis. Our results imply that radiation therapy can reduce this effect by 70 percent. (JEL H51, I12, I18, J16, J22, J31)