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动态赦免计划

Dynamic Amnesty Programs
American Economic Review · 2022 · Sam Kapon

中文摘要

监管者面对陆续出现的行为人,他们从事的犯罪活动具有随机收益。监管者设计一项赦免计划,承诺按照一条既定的时间路径,对报告自身罪行的犯罪者施加惩罚。在最优计划中,犯罪收益随时间的变化可能使赦免的宽大程度也随时间变化。我构建了一条最优时间路径,并表明该路径呈现出赦免周期。赦免的宽大程度随时间不断提高,直至达到某一界限,随后周期重新开始。从事高收益犯罪的行为人在每个周期结束时报告自身罪行,而从事低收益犯罪的行为人在任何时候都报告自身罪行。

Abstract

A regulator faces a stream of agents engaged in crimes with stochastic returns. The regulator designs an amnesty program, committing to a time path of punishments for criminals who report their crimes. In an optimal program, time variation in the returns from crime can generate time variation in the generosity of amnesty. I construct an optimal time path and show that it exhibits amnesty cycles. Amnesty becomes increasingly generous over time until it hits a bound, after which the cycle resets. Agents engaged in high return crime report at the end of each cycle, while agents engaged in low return crime report always. (JEL D82, D86, K42)
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