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桥梁

Bridges
Review of Economic Studies · 2025 · Anna Tompsett

中文摘要

桥梁是陆路交通网络中至关重要但分布稀疏的连接环节。我利用美国主要河流上桥梁建设的准实验变异,衡量陆路交通基础设施的因果效应。桥梁更常建在支流汇流处——即较小河流汇入较大河流之处——的上游而非下游,由此产生连通性的局部差异。局部连通性优势对人均收入具有负向效应。相比之下,主要桥梁开通带来的幅度更大的连通性变化则提高了人均经济活动水平。一种可以调和这两项结果的叙述性解释是:陆路交通基础设施创造了生产率优势,在较大的空间尺度上推动经济增长、结构转型和城市化;但在围绕早期交通路线形成的城市内部,局部空间分选随后在较小的空间尺度上逆转了这一梯度。

Abstract

Abstract Bridges are critical but sparse links in land transport networks. I exploit quasi-experimental variation in bridge construction over major rivers in the U.S. to measure the causal effects of land transport infrastructure. Bridges are more often built upstream than downstream of tributary confluences—where smaller rivers join larger rivers—generating local differences in connectivity. Local connectivity advantages have negative effects on per capita income. In contrast, more substantial changes in connectivity arising from the opening of major bridges increase per capita economic activity. A narrative explanation that can reconcile both results is that land transport infrastructure creates productivity advantages that drive economic growth, structural transformation, and urbanization over large spatial scales, but local sorting within the cities that form around early transport routes then reverses this gradient over smaller spatial scales.
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