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生命周期工资与人力资本投资:选择与缺失数据

Life-Cycle Wages and Human Capital Investments: Selection and Missing Data
Review of Economic Studies · 2026 · Laurent Gobillon、Thierry Magnac、Sébastiên Roux

中文摘要

我们从一个关于生命周期内人力资本投资的结构模型出发,推导出具有个体特定系数的工资方程。该模型允许劳动力市场参与出现中断,并处理缺失数据与样本流失问题。我们提出了一个新框架,用以处理随机缺失,并基于因子分解实现对选择性的灵活控制。我们的方法导出了一种交互效应工资设定式,我们使用关于法国私营部门男性工资的长期行政面板数据对其进行估计。结构函数方法表明,中断会对平均工资产生负面影响。有趣的是,中断也会对二十年后的工资十分位距产生负面影响。这仅部分源于中断具有内生性这一事实。

Abstract

Abstract We derive wage equations with individual-specific coefficients from a structural model of human capital investment over the life-cycle. This model allows for interruptions in labour market participation and deals with missing data and attrition problems. We propose a new framework that deals with missingness at random and is based on factor decompositions that allow for flexible control of selection. Our approach leads to an interactive effect wage specification, which we estimate using long administrative panel data on male wages in the private sector in France. A structural function approach shows that interruptions negatively affect average wages. Interestingly, they also negatively affect the inter-decile range of wages after twenty years. This is only partly due to the fact that interruptions are endogenous.
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