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移民与空间均衡:原籍国支出的作用

Immigration and Spatial Equilibrium: The Role of Expenditures in the Country of Origin
American Economic Review · 2022 · Christoph Albert、Joan Monràs

中文摘要

我们通过实证记录发现,国际移民更多地集中于高物价城市——其原籍国的物价越低,这种集中程度越高——且与可比的本地人相比,他们在当地的消费更少。我们通过引入一个定量空间均衡模型来解释这一实证发现;在该模型中,移民的一部分收入用于在原籍国消费。利用反事实模拟,我们表明,由于这一新的消费渠道,移民将经济活动引向物价高、生产率高的地区。这使劳动力的空间配置更有效率,从而增加总产出,并提高本地人的福利。

Abstract

We document that international migrants concentrate more in expensive cities—the more so, the lower the prices in their origin countries are—and consume less locally than comparable natives. We rationalize this empirical evidence by introducing a quantitative spatial equilibrium model, in which a part of immigrants’ income goes toward consumption in their origin countries. Using counter-factual simulations, we show that, due to this novel consumption channel, immigrants move economic activity toward expensive, high-productivity locations. This leads to a more efficient spatial allocation of labor and, as a result, increases the aggregate output and welfare of natives. (JEL F24, J15, J31, J61, R23)
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