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脆弱性与庇护主义

Vulnerability and Clientelism
American Economic Review · 2022 · Gustavo J. Bobonis、Paul Gertler、Marco Gonzalez-Navarro、Simeon Nichter

中文摘要

本研究认为,经济脆弱性导致公民参与庇护主义,而庇护主义会带来多种有害后果。为考察脆弱性降低如何影响公民参与庇护主义,本文利用了两种影响脆弱性的外生冲击。首先,我们设计了一项随机对照试验,以降低家庭脆弱性:作为发展干预,我们在巴西易受干旱影响的地区建造了住宅蓄水池。其次,我们利用降雨冲击。我们发现,降低脆弱性显著减少了公民向政治人物提出的私人品请求,尤其是在可能处于庇护主义关系中的公民中。此外,降低脆弱性减少了投给现任市长的选票,而这些市长通常拥有更多可用于庇护主义的资源。

Abstract

This study argues that economic vulnerability causes citizens to participate in clientelism, a phenomenon with various pernicious consequences. To examine how reduced vulnerability affects citizens’ participation in clientelism, we employ two exogenous shocks to vulnerability. First, we designed a randomized control trial to reduce household vulnerability: our development intervention constructed residential water cisterns in drought-prone areas of Brazil. Second, we exploit rainfall shocks. We find that reducing vulnerability significantly decreases requests for private goods from politicians, especially among citizens likely to be in clientelist relationships. Moreover, reducing vulnerability decreases votes for incumbent mayors, who typically have more resources for clientelism. (JEL D72, H41, I38, O12, O17, Q54)
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