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高技能移民政策对企业的影响:来自签证抽签的证据

The Effects of High-Skilled Immigration Policy on Firms: Evidence from Visa Lotteries
Journal of Political Economy · 2022 · Kirk Doran、Alexander Gelber、Adam Isen

中文摘要

我们比较了H-1B签证抽签中的中签企业与未中签企业,并将这些抽签的行政数据与美国企业的行政税务数据及已获授权的美国专利数据进行匹配。每多中签获得一个H-1B签证名额,就会挤出该企业约1.5名其他工人。额外的H-1B签证对企业创新的影响在统计上不显著,且影响幅度至多也较为有限。采用其他估计策略,利用美国全部企业和全部H-1B签证的数据所得的更广泛证据,与这些结果一致。雇用H-1B签证持有者的企业之所以增长更快、创新更多,是因为它们在其他方面与不雇用此类签证持有者的企业存在差异。

Abstract

We compare winning and losing firms in lotteries for H-1B visas, matching administrative data on these lotteries to administrative tax data on US firms and to approved US patents. Winning one additional H-1B visa crowds out about 1.5 other workers at the firm. Additional H-1Bs have insignificant and at most modest effects on firm innovation. More general evidence from the universe of US firms and the universe of H-1B visas using alternative estimation strategies is consistent with these results. Firms that hire H-1Bs grow faster and innovate more because they are different in other ways from firms that do not.
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