← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

汽车的均衡交易

Equilibrium Trade in Automobiles
Journal of Political Economy · 2022 · Kenneth Gillingham、Fedor Iskhakov、Anders Munk-Nielsen、John Rust、Bertel Schjerning

中文摘要

我们提出了一个计算上易于处理、包含异质性消费者的汽车市场动态均衡模型,重点关注稳态流量均衡。我们提出了一种快速且稳健的均衡计算算法,并利用该算法,基于丹麦近3900万条关于汽车所有权转换的观测记录估计模型。估计得到的模型与数据拟合良好,反事实模拟表明,丹麦可以通过降低新车注册税率来增加总税收收入。我们表明,降低该税率并同时提高燃油税率,可以增加总体福利、税收收入和汽车保有量,同时降低车龄、驾驶量和二氧化碳排放量。

Abstract

We introduce a computationally tractable dynamic equilibrium model of automobile markets with heterogeneous consumers, focused on stationary flow equilibria. We introduce a fast, robust algorithm for computing equilibria and use it to estimate a model using nearly 39 million observations on car ownership transitions from Denmark. The estimated model fits the data well, and counterfactual simulations show that Denmark could raise total tax revenue by reducing the new-car registration tax rate. We show that reducing this tax rate while raising the tax rate on fuel increases aggregate welfare, tax revenue, and car ownership, while reducing car ages, driving, and CO2 emissions.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →