← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

美国住房市场的流动性约束

Liquidity Constraints in the U.S. Housing Market
Review of Economic Studies · 2021 · Corina Boar、Denis Gorea、Virgiliu Midrigan

中文摘要

我们利用一个包含不可保的个体特异性风险的生命周期模型,研究美国住房市场流动性约束的严重程度。在该模型中,住房缺乏流动性,但个体可以通过对其抵押贷款进行再融资来提取住房净值。模型表明,五分之四的房主面临流动性约束,并愿意平均支付13美分,以从其住房中额外提取1美元的流动性。大多数房主出于预防性动机而重视流动性,因为他们预见到收入可能下降,同时还需要支付抵押贷款款项。该模型很好地再现了实际观测到的消费对税收返还和抵押贷款纾困计划的反应,并预测,旨在为房主提供暂时性流动性纾困的政策会带来较大的福利收益。

Abstract

Abstract We study the severity of liquidity constraints in the U.S. housing market using a life-cycle model with uninsurable idiosyncratic risks in which houses are illiquid, but agents can extract home equity by refinancing their mortgages. The model implies that four-fifths of homeowners are liquidity constrained and willing to pay an average of 13 cents to extract an additional dollar of liquidity from their home. Most homeowners value liquidity for precautionary reasons, anticipating the possibility of income declines and the need to make mortgage payments. The model reproduces well the observed response of consumption to tax rebates and mortgage relief programs and predicts large welfare gains from policies aimed at providing temporary liquidity relief to homeowners.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →