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助推能否提高劳动所得税收抵免的申领率?来自多项实地实验的证据

Can Nudges Increase Take-Up of the EITC? Evidence from Multiple Field Experiments
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · 2022 · Elizabeth Linos、Allen Prohofsky、Aparna Ramesh、Jesse Rothstein、Matthew Unrath

中文摘要

劳动所得税收抵免(EITC)每年向超过2000万个低收入家庭发放逾600亿美元。然而,据估计,五分之一符合条件的家庭未申领该项抵免。我们开展了六项预注册的大规模实地实验,共包含100万个观测值,以检验“助推”能否提高EITC的申领率。尽管我们改变了信息的内容、设计、传递者和传递方式,但未发现证据表明这些信息影响了家庭提交纳税申报表或申领该项抵免的可能性。我们的结论是,即使是最大程度运用了行为科学知识的低接触度宣传联络措施,也无法克服不提交纳税申报表的低收入家庭所面临的障碍。

Abstract

The Earned Income Tax Credit distributes more than $60 billion to over 20 million low-income families annually. Nevertheless, an estimated one-fifth of eligible households do not claim it. We ran six preregistered, large-scale field experiments with 1 million observations to test whether “nudges” could increase EITC take-up. Despite varying the content, design, messenger, and mode of our messages, we find no evidence that they affected households’ likelihood of filing a tax return or claiming the credit. We conclude that even the most behaviorally informed low-touch outreach efforts cannot overcome the barriers faced by low-income households who do not file returns. (JEL C93, D91, H24, I38)
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