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提醒有效,但对谁有效?来自纽约市停车罚单接收者的证据

Reminders Work, but for Whom? Evidence from New York City Parking Ticket Recipients
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · 2022 · Ori Heffetz、Ted O’Donoghue、Henry S. Schneider

中文摘要

我们研究纽约市停车罚单接收者对提醒信函反应程度的异质性。利用信函发送时间的差异,我们发现总体反应强烈。但个体之间存在很大差异:那些对罚单的基线反应倾向较低的人——很自然会被视为助推对象——对提醒信函的反应最弱。这些低反应类型人群会承担高额逾期罚款,而本已处于弱势的群体在这类人群中的占比偏高。他们对传统的、基于激励的干预措施确实反应强烈。我们讨论了将反应异质性纳入考量可能如何改变政策思路,以及如何利用我们的分析,针对低反应类型人群实施干预。

Abstract

We investigate heterogeneity in responsiveness to reminder letters among New York City parking ticket recipients. Using variation in the timing of letters, we find a strong aggregate response. But we find large differences across individuals: those with a low baseline propensity to respond to tickets—a natural nudge target—react least to letters. These low-response types, who incur significant late penalties, disproportionately come from already disadvantaged groups. They do react strongly to traditional, incentive-based interventions. We discuss how accounting for response heterogeneity might change one’s approach to policy and how one might use our analysis to target interventions at low-response types. (JEL D04, D12, D91, H71)
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