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绝对代际流动性的长期演变

The Long-Run Evolution of Absolute Intergenerational Mobility
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2022 · Yonatan Berman

中文摘要

本文结合横截面与纵向收入数据,呈现了20世纪十个发达经济体绝对代际收入流动性的演变。20世纪后半叶,这些国家的绝对流动性均有所下降。收入不平等加剧和增长率下降均促成了这一下降,但在大多数国家,增长率下降是主要因素。我们表明,估计绝对流动性的长期变化实际上并不需要详细的面板数据。

Abstract

This paper combines cross-sectional and longitudinal income data to present the evolution of absolute intergenerational income mobility in ten advanced economies in the twentieth century. Absolute mobility decreased during the second half of the twentieth century in all of these countries. Increasing income inequality and decreasing growth rates have both contributed to the decrease, yet growth is the dominant contributor in most countries. We show that detailed panel data are effectively unnecessary for estimating absolute mobility over the long run. (JEL D31, J62, N30)
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