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暴力引致的迁移与学业表现中的同伴效应

Violence-induced migration and peer effects in academic performance
Journal of Public Economics · 2022 · María Padilla‐Romo、Cecilia Peluffo

中文摘要

我们发现,当地暴力通过受暴力影响地区的人口迁出以及同伴的暴力暴露,在暴力发生地区之外产生溢出效应。在墨西哥毒品战争的背景下,我们利用暴力引致的学生迁移作为同伴暴力暴露的外生变异来源,估计同伴暴力暴露对未直接受暴力影响地区中未迁移学生学业表现的影响。结果表明,遭受更多暴力的市镇,其学生迁出率更高。在位于未直接受暴力影响地区的接收学校中,向一个有20名学生的班级新增一名曾暴露于当地暴力的同伴,会使原有学生的学业表现下降0.02个标准差。负面效应在女生和学业成绩优异的学生中更为明显。

Abstract

We document that local violence generates spillover effects beyond areas where violence takes place, via out-migration from violence-affected areas and peer exposure to violence. In the context of the Mexican war on drugs, we use violence-induced student migration as an exogenous source of variation in peer exposure to violence to estimate its effects on the academic performance of non-moving students in areas not directly affected by violence. Our results show that municipalities that face more violence experience higher rates of student out-migration. In receiving schools in areas not directly affected by violence, adding a new peer who was exposed to local violence to a class of 20 students decreases incumbents’ academic performance by 2 percent of a standard deviation. Negative effects are more pronounced among girls and high-achieving students.
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