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国内外包限制对劳动力市场的影响

Labor market effects of bounds on domestic outsourcing
Journal of Development Economics · 2024 · Bruno Jiménez、Sílvio Rendón

中文摘要

2022年初,秘鲁颁布法规以遏制普遍存在的外包行为,将外包限定于企业核心职能之外的活动。本研究利用秘鲁国家住户调查(ENAHO)2021—2022年的季度数据及2023年的年度数据,采用双重差分方法评估短期劳动力市场结果。结果显示,尽管外包减少了1.7个百分点,但这些限制措施对就业、工资或就业正规化没有统计显著的不利影响。若说有何变化,就业和劳动力参与率反而略有上升,不过这些上升并非因果效应。这些发现在各种检验和替代模型设定下均保持稳健,表明该政策主要影响了外包行为,而未明显影响更广泛的劳动力市场结果。该政策既未造成就业岗位流失,也未改善劳动者的就业条件。

Abstract

In early 2022, Peru enacted regulations to curtail widespread outsourcing, limiting it to activities outside a firm’s core functions. Utilizing quarterly data from Peru’s National Household Surveys (ENAHO) from 2021 to 2022 and yearly data from 2023, this study applies difference-in-differences techniques to assess short-term labor market outcomes. Results show that while outsourcing decreased by 1.7 percentage points, the restrictions had no significant adverse effects on employment, wages, or labor formalization. If anything, employment and labor force participation showed slight, though non-causal, increases. These findings are robust to various tests and alternative specifications, suggesting that the policy primarily impacted outsourcing practices without markedly influencing broader labor outcomes. It did neither destroy jobs nor improve workers’ employment conditions.
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